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So, this combination makes it difficult to conclusively predict that The Charles Schwab Corporation will beat the consensus EPS estimate.ĭoes Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue? On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #4. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -2.28%. How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for The Charles Schwab Corporation?įor The Charles Schwab Corporation, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bearish on the company's earnings prospects. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell). Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.Ī positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.
The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. This insight is at the core of our proprietary surprise prediction model - the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction). Investors should keep in mind that the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts may not always get reflected in the aggregate change.Įstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 4.77% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. Revenues are expected to be $4.61 billion, down 9.6% from the year-ago quarter. This company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.75 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -22.7%. While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower. The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on July 18. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.
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Usage will be monitored.The market expects The Charles Schwab Corporation ( SCHW Quick Quote SCHW - Free Report) to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on lower revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2023. © 2023 Charles Schwab & Co., Inc, All rights reserved.
Learn more about our services for non-U.S. residents are subject to country-specific restrictions. Access to Electronic Services may be limited or unavailable during periods of peak demand, market volatility, systems upgrade, maintenance, or for other reasons. Its banking subsidiary, Charles Schwab Bank (member FDIC and an Equal Housing Lender), provides deposit and lending services and products. ( member SIPC), offers investment services and products, including Schwab brokerage accounts. Its broker-dealer subsidiary, Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.
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The Charles Schwab Corporation provides a full range of brokerage, banking and financial advisory services through its operating subsidiaries. and some are subject to country specific restrictions.Ĭheck the background of this firm or one of its investment professionals on FINRA's BrokerCheck. Not all products and services listed are available outside the U.S.
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